Peak Electricity and the Clean Power Plan

Peak Electricity and the Clean Power Plan
The Electricity Journal 28(4): 18–27 (2015), doi:10.1016/j.tej.2015.04.006
(with Michael Wara and Rachel Teitelbaum)

Key elements of EPA's Clean Power Plan rely on forecasted electricity sales from the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), but NEMS has consistently over-projected electricity sales. An analysis of the model's bias as applied by EPA raises concerns about the stringency of the proposed emissions targets.